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China and the United States are heading toward a war neither wants. The reason is Thucydides’s Trap, a deadly pattern of structural stress that results when a rising power challenges a ruling one. This phenomenon is as old as history itself. About the Peloponnesian War that devastated ancient Greece, the historian Thucydides explained: ‘It was the rise of Athens and the fear that this instilled in Sparta that made war inevitable.’ Over the past 500 years, these conditions have occurred sixteen times. War broke out in twelve of them. Today, as an unstoppable China approaches an immovable America, and both Xi Jinping and Donald Trump promise to make their countries ‘great again’, the seventeenth case looks grim. Unless China is willing to scale back its ambitions or Washington can accept becoming number two in the Pacific, a trade conflict, cyberattack, or accident at sea could soon escalate into all-out war. In Destined for War, the eminent Harvard scholar Graham Allison explains why Thucydides’s Trap is the best lens for understanding U.S.-China relations in the twenty-first century. Through uncanny historical parallels and war scenarios, he shows how close we are to the unthinkable. Yet, stressing that war is not inevitable, Allison also reveals how clashing powers have kept the peace in the past — and what painful steps the United States and China must take to avoid disaster today.

Télécharger Destined for War: can America and China escape Thucydides’ Trap? (English Edition) de Graham Allison livre En ligne

Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides ~ Unless China is willing to scale back its ambitions or Washington can accept becoming number two in the Pacific, a trade conflict, cyberattack, or accident at sea could soon escalate into all-out war. In Destined for War, the eminent Harvard scholar Graham Allison explains why Thucydides’s Trap is the best lens for understanding U.S.-China relations in the twenty-first century. Through .

Destined for War: Can China and the United States Escape ~ The defining question about global order for this generation is whether China and the United States can escape Thucydides’s Trap. The Greek historian’s metaphor reminds us of the attendant .

Destined for War: can America and China escape Thucydides ~ Unless China is willing to scale back its ambitions or Washington can accept becoming number two in the Pacific, a trade conflict, cyberattack, or accident at sea could soon escalate into all-out war. In Destined for War, the eminent Harvard scholar Graham Allison explains why Thucydides’s Trap is the best lens for understanding U.S.-China .

Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides ~ China, America and the Thucydides trap The cold war is also one of only two rivalries examined by Allison that took .Destined For War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap? Editorial Reviews. Review. A NATIONAL BESTSELLER A NEW YORK TIMES NOTABLE BOOK Destined for War will be studied and debated for decades. Destined for War .

Graham Allison / Speaker / TED ~ Why you should listen. Graham Allison is the Douglas Dillon Professor of Government at the Harvard Kennedy School and the best-selling author of Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap? Founding Dean of the Harvard Kennedy School, he has served as Assistant Secretary of Defense and advised the Secretaries of Defense under every president from Reagan to Obama.

America’s Collision Course With China - The New York Times ~ DESTINED FOR WAR Can America and China Escape Thucydides’s Trap? By Graham Allison 364 pp. Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Books. $28. The Chinese superpower has arrived.

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トゥキディデスの罠 - Wikipedia ~ トゥキディデスの罠（トゥキディデスのわな、英: Thucydides Trap ）とは、古代アテナイの歴史家、トゥキディデスにちなむ言葉で、戦争が不可避な状態まで従来の覇権国家と、新興の国家がぶつかり合う現象を指す。 アメリカ合衆国の政治学者 グレアム・アリソンが作った造語

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All Stories by Graham Allison - The Atlantic ~ The Thucydides Trap: Are the U.S. and China Headed for War? In 12 of 16 past cases in which a rising power has confronted a ruling power, the result has been bloodshed. Graham Allison

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